Published on: Dec 15, 2025

Strict Universality of the Square-Root Law in Price Impact across Stocks: A Complete Survey of the Tokyo Stock Exchange

Using complete account-level trading data across all liquid TSE stocks over eight years, the authors find the market-impact exponent is statistically consistent with 1/2 at both stock and trader levels—strong evidence for strict universality of the square-root law.

Statistical Physics

Statistical Physics

Market Microstructure

Market Microstructure

Quantitative Finance

Quantitative Finance

Econophysics

Econophysics

Universal power laws have been scrutinised in physics and beyond, and a long-standing debate exists in econophysics regarding the strict universality of the nonlinear price impact, commonly referred to as the square-root law (SRL). The SRL posits that the average price impact III follows a power law with respect to transaction volume QQQ, such that I(Q)∝QδI(Q) \propto Q^{\delta}I(Q)∝Qδ with δ≈1/2\delta \approx 1/2δ≈1/2. Some researchers argue that the exponent δ\deltaδ should be system-specific, without universality. Conversely, others contend that δ\deltaδ should be exactly 1/21/21/2 for all stocks across all countries, implying universality. However, resolving this debate requires high-precision measurements of δ\deltaδ with errors of around 0.1 across hundreds of stocks, which has been extremely challenging due to the scarcity of large microscopic datasets—those that enable tracking the trading behaviour of all individual accounts. Here we conclusively support the universality hypothesis of the SRL by a complete survey of all trading accounts for all liquid stocks on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) over eight years. Using this comprehensive microscopic dataset, we show that the exponent δ\deltaδ is equal to 1/21/21/2 within statistical errors at both the individual stock level and the individual trader level. Additionally, we rejected two prominent models supporting the nonuniversality hypothesis: the Gabaix–Gopikrishnan–Plerou–Stanley and the Farmer–Gerig–Lillo–Waelbroeck models. Our work provides exceptionally high-precision evidence for the universality hypothesis in social science and could prove useful in evaluating the price impact by large investors—an important topic even among practitioners.

DOI: 10.1103/65jz-81kv

Key Takeaways

This paper uses a rare "complete survey" dataset (all trading accounts, all liquid stocks, eight years) to test whether market impact truly follows a universal square-root scaling.

  • Finds δ≈1/2 per stock and per trader, within statistical error.

  • Argues the remaining dispersion is consistent with finite-sample effects, not genuine non-universality.

  • Directly tests and rejects two prominent non-universal model explanations using this dataset.

Institutions

Kyoto University - Department of Physics, Graduate School of Science

Kyoto, Japan

Journal

American Physical Society (APS)

Impact Factor: 9

Impact Factor: 9

Impact Factor: 9

Impact Factor: 9

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